In a model study published jointly in Nature Medicine yesterday by researchers from China’s Fudan University, Huashan Hospital, the US National Institute of Health and Indiana University, the epidemic prevention measures were only abolished altogether. six months later, it was shown that approximately 1.6 million people would die in China due to the Omicron variant.
Researchers agree that there are three factors that affect epidemic prevention and control. After, various non-pharmacological interventions, including firstly vaccination, especially vaccination for the elderly over the age of 60, secondly antiviral treatment, and finally the closure of schools and workplaces, provide highly effective results in epidemic prevention and control.
According to the data, if all measures against Omicron are lifted in China, more than 112 million people will be infected, 5.1 million people will be hospitalized, 2.7 million people will be taken to heavy care units and approximately 1.6 million people will be hospitalized. It is claimed that he will die. It is predicted that about three quarters of deaths will be unvaccinated elderly people over 60 years of age.
The 1 million critical care beds needed at the peak of the epidemic far exceed the current number of heavy care beds in China (64 thousand). In addition, a single measure in question cannot reduce the impact of the Omicron variant under the influence of seasonal flu (about 88,000 people die each year in China due to seasonal flu). However, a multilateral approach to epidemic prevention can reduce the efficacy of the Omicron variant to a relatively acceptable range.
Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs Spokesperson Zhao Lijian stated that the event reset policy followed by China effectively protects the elderly with important diseases and vulnerable clusters with chronic diseases, and that China’s epidemic prevention and control policy does not surrender to the virus, as some countries do. He said it differed significantly from his politics.
Source China International Radio
Hibya News Agency